Sunday 4 August 2013

Profitable Systems - A practical demonstration


One of the easiest ways to show the powerful nature of Axis is to do with it what it was designed for. Axis was designed to suit the needs of two types of diametrically opposite users. The Professional form analyst will find everything that they need contained within the tools and data available of the Professional version of Axis. Depending on their requirements, the Systems punter will also find everything that they need to develop, test and analyse systems like never before in either the Classic or Advanced versions.

Professional form analysts usually work to a specific process with their success largely dependent on their analytical skills and experience. As such it is not easy to show an example in a practical demonstration. In this post we want to concentrate on showing how the Systems punter, can benefit from using Axis in their day to day punting. By using systems, we can show you some immediate results and examples of what can be created using the Axis software. That is not to say that a Professional form analyst can’t also use systems to isolate shortlists of potential selections rather than trying to handicap the vast number of races available each day. The one main point of difference to remember with Axis is that analysing form is just a small part of its arsenal when you look at developing systems. The art of traditional form study using official race data is commonplace. A R2W we truly believe that  betting edge lies within the tools, combination of  our ratings and other data variables which can then be mixed so as to provide you with a range of profitable systems.

Here is a quick list of points that you should consider when looking at a system.

Number of selections: Unless a system that has for example less than 3 bets per week, a corresponding  sample size of at least of 500 bets, then the possibility is high that the results you have may be not be a true indication of likely performance. The reason why is because mathematical variance influences sets of data especially when the sample size is low. To counter this you need a much larger sample size in order to be confident that when you wager the selections contained within the system going forward, that it is more likely to produce results similar to the data sample tested.

A great illustration of what we are talking about is to toss a coin 10 times. Heads or Tails? We all know that the true odds of either a head or a tail are 50% ($2.00 dividend). The reality is though over a small sample (10 tosses) the results will be anywhere from 10 heads to 10 tails. Try 100 tosses and then a 1,000 tosses. At 1,000 tosses you will discover that the range of results experienced will be closer to expectations. The more tosses the more likely that the true nature of the ‘system’ will be revealed. If you have 50 bets a year do you think that you have the means of accurately predicting the long-term performance of a system? What if you have a suite of systems run concurrently. Even in this instance the larger sample of bets cannot be used confidently as a marker of future performance because in the end each system is its own entity.

Rules: The great thing about having a large sample, is that back-fitted systems with illogical rules do not perform as favorably as they have a tendency with those that have a smaller sample. Generally the lower the sample size has the user falling into the trap of applying a greater the number of filters that in turn display an unrealistic expectation of likely future outcomes. There is nothing wrong with filters if they are applied correctly. Long term filters that are applied using carefully well thought out logic will prevail whereas those that are back fitted will not.

As an example of the advantages of using Axis, we have displayed the results from some of our successful systems.  We understand the serious nature of betting for a profit and as such it is not a pursuit of fun or entertainment. Like ourselves and our products, our Axis software is suitable for anyone who already has or wants to develop a serious and profitable approach to their betting. We use many of the same functions in Axis for our own betting and we depend on the continued performance of our ratings, tool and data just as our clients do. The simple economic reasons as to why we are willing to share our successful tools and data with our clients is that they participate in meeting the ongoing development and data costs through their subscriptions.

Two of the systems results found below are featured on this forum and our website. We provide free tips from a currently featured system. Our results and past performance are on public record. Outside of these two systems, no other system is being sold, given away or thrown in with an Axis purchase, that is not what we are about.  What we are showing you is but a sample of the capabilities of this tool,  the work, is what you will have to do yourself!

You will need to devote some time to become familiar with the Axis software. By investing your time you will learn what it takes to become a long term winning punter. You will have the opportunity to research and develop profitable systems whilst availing yourself with some of best education and advice from successful punters. Having said that, the software is simple and intuitive to use. We are more than happy to assist you, so that you can derive the benefits that Axis offers, regardless of whether you are a Professional form analyst or Systems punter. This will help  you in become a better and more educated punter. We will arm you with the knowledge you need to be successful. We pride ourselves on and are known for, our excellent customer service. Our goal for this company is to develop relationships with our clients and partners that are long term, successful and mutually profitable.

The system results below are based on individual systems run over the last 1243 days with the profits based on betting a flat 1% of your betting bank, assuming a $10,000 starting bank. The goal was to produce around 1-2 bets per system per day using a realistic mix of profitable long-term systems that offer a combination of styles using both long shots and favourites.

System Name
Bets
Wins
Strike
Collect
Avg. Div
Profit
Bank Growth
Profitable Favourites
2,838
1,316
46.4%
$297,272
$2.25
$13,372
1.34 x
Home Track Advantage
2,817
796
28.3%
$322,302
$4.05
$40,600
4.06 x
Sample System No. 1
1,209
244
20.2%
$153,680
$6.30
$32,780
3.28 x
Sample System No. 2
1,513
115
7.6%
$176,820
$15.40
$25,520
2.55 x


Each of these systems can be improved using a combination of the better market prices available and by employing wagering techniques such as proportional betting.

Over the 3.5 year period under review, if you had invested even just $10 on each selection, and used the basic pricing models given, you would have fully funded the costs of your Axis and subscription and had money to spend. What about all the other profitable systems that you could create? This highlights just one example of how Axis can benefit you and turn you into a long term winning punter.

Contact us today and ask about our 14-day No Risk Money Back Guarantee on the entire Axis product range.

Good Punting,


The R2W Team

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